Multiply the offer price by the estimated probability of closing. A $2.2M offer with a 70% closing probability has a risk-adjusted value of $1.54M. Compare that against a $2.05M offer at 95% probability ($1.95M risk-adjusted value). Then add the carrying cost of additional time if the riskier offer requires a longer closing timeline or might collapse and force a restart.
⚠️ UNVERIFIED: No T1/T2 source located as of 2026-08-01.
This article provides general educational information only. It is not legal, tax, financial, insurance, compliance, housing, brokerage, or professional advice. Rules, tax rates, obligations, enforcement practices, and market conditions vary by property, building, contract, municipality, and jurisdiction, and they change. Sellers should consult a qualified attorney, CPA, or other appropriate professional before making decisions based on their specific situation.
From the seller playbook: The Speed vs. Certainty Trade-Off
This is general information, not legal, tax or accounting advice. Every situation is different. Talk to a licensed attorney, accountant or tax professional before you act.
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